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Regulatory Horizon Tracker

A curated quarterly forward view of developments in operational risk, operational resilience, third-party risk, governance, cyber and AI. UK and Middle East priority coverage, with selected other international developments and links to primary regulatory sources.

Last editorial review: 12 November 2026

Key UK milestone: 18 March 2027. New FCA and PRA operational incident and material third-party reporting requirements come into force. Use the filters below to see the related source documents and practical implications.
Q4 2026 · UKACTIVE · OPEN CONSULTATION

CP26/38: Financial Crime Guide updates

Financial Conduct Authority · United Kingdom

The FCA is consulting on updates to its Financial Crime Guide, including the use and oversight of AI-enabled and third-party financial crime systems and controls. These are proposals, not final requirements. Firms should consider whether they can evidence the effectiveness of automated detection and screening, understand limitations and false negatives, challenge providers, and maintain appropriate human oversight, management information and accountability.

AI and TPRM connections: Model validation and ongoing effectiveness testing; third-party due diligence and oversight; data and model dependencies; explainability, provider challenge and operational resilience. The AI tool may support a control without constituting the entire control framework.

27 Mar 2026 · Q1 2026Consultation published · closed 26 May

CP170: proposed operational resilience framework

DFSA · Dubai DIFC

DFSA proposals address identification of critical business services, impact tolerances, resource and third-party dependency mapping, severe-but-plausible scenario testing and disruption notifications. Track final rules and implementation dates; consultation proposals are not yet final obligations.

14 Sep 2026 · Q3 2026In force

Operational Risk Management Regulation C 1/2026

CBUAE · United Arab Emirates

Effective requirements for licensed financial institutions covering operational risk and resilience, critical operations, dependency mapping including intragroup and external third parties, incident response, continuity and recovery. Firms should assess compliance and ongoing assurance.

Current rulebook · ongoing · OngoingSupervisory watch

Operational Risk Management and Cyber Security (Rulebook OM)

Central Bank of Bahrain

Monitor changes to the CBB Operational Risk Management module, including cybersecurity governance, risk tolerance, incident management, third-party security and cyber resilience. No new 2026 implementation deadline is asserted.

31 Dec 2026 · Q4 2026Consultation deadline

Operational Risk Management RTS under CRR3

EBA

Draft standards on the operational risk management framework, including governance, assessment and control. Review consultation proposals and potential implications for ORM methodology.

JADEtc Academy Analysis

Our technical Insight examines MECE event classification, causes and impacts, EBA loss taxonomy attributes and the treatment of AI and cyber as cross-cutting themes. It distinguishes the 2025 loss-taxonomy draft RTS from this 2026 framework consultation.

Read our Insight: Risk Taxonomies — Has the EBA Finally Found a Better Way? →
18 Mar 2027 · Q1 2027Confirmed implementation

Operational incident reporting and material third-party reporting

FCA / PRA / Bank of England

Implement incident materiality assessment, escalation and regulatory reporting; material third-party notifications, register data and governance. Confirm entity-specific applicability and first reporting obligations.

JADEtc Academy Analysis

Our practitioner briefing explores the new reporting regime, operational incident materiality, third-party data and the practical implementation challenges for firms.

Read our Insight: March 2027 — A New Era for Operational Resilience and Third-Party Reporting →
18 Sep 2026 · Q3 2026Published — transition to monitor

Final Guidelines on Third-Party Risk Management

EBA

Guidance addressing non-ICT third-party arrangements alongside the DORA framework. Review lifecycle controls, materiality, registers and governance; verify formal application and transition dates.

2026 · Q2 2026Consultation / monitor

Operational risk and third-party risk guidance

MAS · Singapore

Track MAS proposals and subsequent final guidance on operational risk and third-party arrangements; do not treat consultation material as final requirements.

2026 · Q3 2026Consultation / monitor

Technology risk management requirements

MAS · Singapore

Monitor changes concerning IT asset management, technology risk assessment, change management, backups and recovery.

Since 17 Jan 2025 · OngoingIn force — ongoing supervisory developments

Digital Operational Resilience Act (DORA)

EU / ESAs

Monitor ICT incident reporting, digital operational resilience testing, ICT third-party oversight and supervisory clarification. DORA is already applicable, not a future go-live.

Date to be confirmed · OngoingPublication watch

Internal governance and risk culture guidance

EBA

Monitor EBA publications for relevant changes to governance, culture, accountability and control expectations. No unverified deadline is asserted.

Continuous monitoring · OngoingHorizon watch

Selected international operational risk, cyber, AI and TPRM developments

US agencies / RBI / BCBS

Curated monitoring of material supervisory publications only; future dated entries will be added after primary-source verification.

How the tracker is maintained

Where JADEtc Academy has published a relevant Insight, a clearly labelled link to our analysis is included alongside the primary regulatory sources. The Regulatory Horizon Tracker is informed by our ongoing monitoring of UK and international regulatory developments, including relevant announcements from the DFSA, CBUAE, CBB and other Gulf regulators. Potential additions and updates are reviewed against primary regulatory publications before being incorporated into the tracker. The tracker is a curated reference designed to highlight significant developments and forthcoming requirements. It is not intended to be an exhaustive compliance calendar or an automatically updated regulatory feed.

Publication status matters. Confirmed deadlines are distinguished from consultations, publication watches and ongoing obligations. Verify scope and entity-specific applicability against the official documents.

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